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News item4th June 2006

Analysis of the BNP vote in the 2006 local elections in Yorkshire & the Humber


The 2006 local elections saw the number of BNP councilors nationally more than double from 20 to 48. This again confirmed the trend of rising BNP support, which has accelerated dramatically over the last six years.

Thirty-three BNP councillors were elected on May 4th. The BNP made their biggest breakthrough with 11 councillors (possibly 12 after legal appeal) elected in Barking and Dagenham, London.

The BNP stood their largest number of candidates and received their largest regional vote in the Yorkshire and Humber region — 105 candidates in 103 wards received 88,148 votes at an average of 19.1%.

21 of the 71 seats nationally the BNP can win in 2007 with a 5% or less swing are in our region — all but two of those are in West Yorkshire. 10 wards are in Bradford, 6 in Kirklees, 2 in Calderdale, 1 each in Leeds, Barnsley and Rotherham.

In Bradford the BNP contested 16 wards where they averaged 25.4% of the vote. They won the Queensbury ward and came second in 8 wards. Contesting every seat in Kirklees the BNP received 22,914 votes at an average of 18.5%, and in 22 wards in Leeds the BNP received 22,642 votes at an average of 16.6%.

The local elections also show that once the BNP wins a council seat in an area it helps in their process of political legitimisation. As a result it also takes longer to defeat them and makes it easier for them to gain more councillors. The BNP’s breakthroughs in Burnley, Epping Forest, Sandwell, Stoke-on-Trent, Bradford and Kirklees are clear examples of this. The BNP vote continues to grow in the existing bases of Bradford and Kirklees.

Preventing the BNP from gaining councillors in the first place is crucial, that is why Oldham remains the model anti-fascist campaign. The BNP never won a single council seat in Oldham and the BNP’s vote halved between 2001 and 2005.

Of course the BNP’s key aim is to use local election gains to help it win regional seats in the European Parliament elections in 2009 and on the London Assembly in 2008.

BNP website:
“The real target for us now is the European Elections in 2009.... The BNP are now poised for a real political breakthrough in the 2009 European Elections. The local elections are important as they reveal that the percentage support we now garner in constituencies is capable of easily translating into MEP seats.”

In the 2004 European elections the BNP won just over 126 000 votes or 8.04% of the vote in the Yorkshire region. 12.5% of the vote was required to win the last placed seat in 2004 — but this is only a very approximate indicator of what % will win the last seat in 2009. Achieving a high turnout again will be vital if we are to stop the BNP in that election.

Another key point to note about the May elections was the role played by some of the media’s coverage of the BNP during the election period which had the effect of legitimising their politics of hatred. The xenophobic media coverage of the release of prisoners described as ‘foreign nationals’, the talking up of the British National Party’s (BNP) support by politicians and then seized on by the media with the unprecedented platform and air time given to the BNP in the run up to the elections, led to the BNP being perceived by some as a legitimate political party.

BNP website:
“The real story of this election though is how the BNP have become normalised with the electorate. We have now transcended the cordon sanitaire that the media have placed upon us for decades.”

An accurate assessment of the 2006 local elections is key to understanding what we need to do over the next year to stop the BNP making further progress in 2007.


 
 

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